The NBA Past, Present, and Future: What Can Save America’s Most Influential Sport?
Original Article on X found here: https://x.com/GroundwalkerL/status/1901048422053867872
Huge Shoutout to my Boy Kyle MacGreySweatpants who was the inspiration for this article. His passion for the sport of basketball inspired me to make the best article I could and include as much about the sport both past and present that I could. Here’s my discussion with ChatGPT.
Hello Chat today we are going to talk about the NBA and various aspects about it and theorize on why the viewership and fan sentiment is down when compared to previous years. This idea was brought about by two things. Firstly a video about Luka Doncic being Traded to the LA Lakers from the Dallas Maverics which talked about how many billions of dollars there are to be made off of NBA teams, regardless of what happens during the games. The idea of the video was essentially that these billionaires are sacrificing the sport of basketball to make money. That led me to ask the question of if NBA is a dying product which I then had a discussion with my friend Kyle (whose comments are included in the attached document as well as the video detailing the Luka trade).
So what we are going to do is review the attached documents, see what the internet thinks about the idea of the NBA being a dying product, see what Kyle says about that. And then have you provide references and examples which include the past NBA numbers and any other additional context.
So can you please review these video transcripts, come up with an outline for why the NBA is a dying product, then review Kyles comments and see how he responded to that idea and then let me know how the history of the NBA compares to the current history 🙂
Outline for Why the NBA is a Dying Product
Based on the documents provided, here’s a structured outline summarizing why the NBA might be declining in viewership and fan sentiment:
1. The Changing Priorities of NBA Ownership
- Billionaire Ownership & Profit Over Sport:
- NBA teams are increasingly owned by billionaires who prioritize revenue over winning.
- TV deals guarantee profits regardless of team performance.
- Owners use teams for tax write-offs, limiting investment in competitive play.
- The Luka Doncic Trade Conspiracy:
- The Dallas Mavericks’ decision to trade Luka to the Lakers was likely financially motivated rather than a basketball decision.
- Suggestion that billionaires are manipulating the league to maximize profits through media and gambling rather than fostering competition.
2. Viewership Decline & Accessibility Issues
- Drastic Drop in Ratings:
- NBA Finals viewership has fallen nearly 50% since 2012.
- ESPN ratings are down 28% in a single year.
- Difficult Access to Games:
- Games are split across multiple streaming platforms (League Pass, Hulu, Prime, TNT, etc.).
- Regional blackouts prevent fans from watching their home teams.
- Cable and streaming subscriptions make following a single team expensive.
- Illegal Streaming on the Rise:
- Frustrated fans resort to bootleg streams due to the high cost and inconvenience of watching legally.
3. Decline in On-Court Product
- Lack of Defense:
- Scoring has skyrocketed, but defense has been deprioritized.
- High-scoring games make individual performances less meaningful.
- Refs call too many soft fouls, discouraging aggressive defensive play.
- Excessive Three-Point Shooting:
- Teams prioritize analytics over strategy, leading to a monotonous game style.
- The NBA has become a “three-point chucking contest,” reducing variety in playstyles.
- Load Management & Player Disengagement:
- Star players frequently sit out games, even when healthy.
- Some players seem more invested in personal brands, podcasts, and sponsorships than the actual game.
- Lack of Rivalries:
- Frequent player movement prevents long-standing rivalries.
- Older eras had fierce team rivalries (Lakers vs. Celtics, Bulls vs. Pistons), while today’s stars are often friendly with each other.
4. Poor Marketing & Narrative Control
- Overemphasis on Legacy & LeBron James:
- NBA media (ESPN, TNT) focuses too much on past players instead of promoting rising stars.
- Younger teams and players don’t get enough national coverage (e.g., OKC Thunder, Cavs).
- Older players (Shaq, Barkley) are entertaining but focus on ridiculing the modern game.
- League Controlled Drama:
- The NBA leans into being a “Reality TV show” rather than fostering organic rivalries.
- Player moves feel scripted to boost ratings rather than competitive integrity.
- The NBA Cup & Forced Engagement:
- Attempts like the in-season tournament are seen as gimmicks rather than genuine improvements.
5. Gambling & Corporate Influence
- NBA’s Heavy Push for Gambling:
- The NBA is aligning itself with sports betting companies, prioritizing gambling over the game itself.
- Expansion to Las Vegas and casino partnerships could shape team movements and roster decisions.
- Referee & Officiating Issues:
- Soft calls and inconsistencies ruin the flow of the game.
- The NBA’s history with referee betting scandals raises concerns about integrity.
Kyle’s Argument Against the NBA Being a Dying Product
Kyle strongly disagrees with the idea that the NBA is dying, making the following counterpoints:
- The Product Itself Is Still Great:
- The overall skill level is the highest it’s ever been.
- The game is more dynamic, fast-paced, and offensively efficient than in past eras.
- Defensive strategies have evolved rather than disappeared.
- Legacy Media & Reporting Is the Real Issue:
- Major sports media outlets focus too much on LeBron and past storylines.
- The NBA fails to market its exciting young stars effectively.
- Football has changed drastically, but people don’t criticize it as harshly as they do the NBA.
- People Nostalgic for the 90s Are Overreacting:
- The 90s NBA was slower, more physical, and relied heavily on post-ups.
- Today’s game is played “downhill” with more possessions and pace.
- Physicality still exists—players like Giannis and Embiid dominate with aggressive play.
- Strategic Differences Shouldn’t Be Seen as a Negative:
- The game isn’t softer; it’s just different.
- Shaq would struggle in today’s game due to pace and perimeter defense.
- Adjustments are necessary in every era—players adapt.
- The NBA’s Own Marketing Failures Are to Blame:
- Shaq and Barkley are the most marketable figures, but they mock modern basketball.
- The league could hire better basketball minds who actually care about promoting today’s product.
Comparing the NBA’s Past to Its Present
| Era | Key Features | Viewership Trends |
|---|---|---|
| 1980s-1990s | Physical defense, intense rivalries, balanced offensive strategies | Peak TV ratings, biggest cultural impact |
| 2000s | Faster pace, dominant big men, isolation-heavy offense | Still strong viewership but began declining post-Jordan |
| 2010s | Three-point revolution, analytics-driven play, superstar team-ups | Viewership began decreasing, new generation of fans emerged |
| 2020s | Load management, gambling partnerships, media over-saturation of a few stars | Significant decline in ratings and fan engagement |
Final Thoughts
- Is the NBA Dying?
- Yes, in Terms of Viewership & Fan Sentiment:
- Ratings are dropping, and fans are frustrated with accessibility, officiating, and lack of rivalries.
- The league prioritizes gambling and billionaire profits over competitive integrity.
- No, in Terms of the On-Court Product:
- Talent has never been higher, and the game is evolving.
- The league’s marketing failures are more to blame than the game itself.
- Yes, in Terms of Viewership & Fan Sentiment:
- Possible Fixes:
- Improve accessibility—make watching games easier and cheaper.
- Promote young stars and non-major market teams.
- Balance three-point shooting with other offensive strategies.
- Reduce load management to ensure fans see star players more often.
- Address referee inconsistencies and foul-calling issues.
- Focus on the sport rather than gambling interests.
Would you like me to dive deeper into historical NBA viewership numbers or financial data comparisons?
So after all of this would you say that the NBA is worse now as a product with Lebron,Steph Curry, KD as their figureheads when compared to when it had Kobe,Shaq,MJ as their figureheads?
The question of whether the NBA is worse now than when Kobe, Shaq, and MJ were the figureheads depends on how we define “worse.”
If we look at on-court talent, player skill, and overall game strategy, today’s NBA is arguably better than ever. However, if we evaluate the entertainment value, cultural impact, and fan engagement, then the past era (MJ, Kobe, Shaq) may have been superior.
Comparing the Two Eras:
| Factor | 1990s-2000s (MJ, Kobe, Shaq Era) | 2010s-2020s (LeBron, Curry, KD Era) |
|---|---|---|
| Viewership & Popularity | NBA Finals peaked in the late 90s and early 2000s (MJ’s Bulls, Shaq-Kobe Lakers) | Viewership has steadily declined since 2012, Finals ratings down nearly 50% |
| Star Power & Rivalries | Intense rivalries: Bulls vs. Pistons, Lakers vs. Kings, Lakers vs. Celtics | Stars change teams frequently, reducing long-term rivalries |
| Media Coverage | NBA focused on matchups and team battles | NBA over-focuses on individual players (LeBron-centric coverage) |
| Game Style & Strategy | Balanced inside-out game, dominant big men, physicality | Three-point heavy, less mid-range, less physicality |
| Competitiveness | Superstars often stayed with one team longer, rivalries lasted for years | Superteams formed through free agency, reducing organic competition |
| Cultural Impact | Michael Jordan, Shaq, and Kobe were massive pop culture icons worldwide | LeBron, Curry, and KD are famous, but the NBA struggles to capture the same magic |
Why the Older Era May Have Been Stronger as a Product
- Cultural Icons & Rivalries
- Michael Jordan was a global icon, even outside of basketball.
- The Kobe vs. Shaq feud was legendary, and their teams dominated headlines.
- Players hated each other on the court, making games more intense.
- Rivalries were authentic and lasted years, rather than being overshadowed by constant player movement.
- More Balanced Game Play
- The mid-range game, dominant post play, and physical defense created variety in playstyles.
- The three-pointer was a weapon but not the entire strategy like it is today.
- Teams had distinct identities rather than a one-size-fits-all three-point spamming approach.
- Stronger Fan Connection
- Fans could follow a team for a decade without seeing their favorite star leave.
- The NBA’s biggest names had strong team legacies (MJ = Bulls, Kobe = Lakers, Duncan = Spurs).
- Today, many fans feel disconnected due to constant player movement.
- Better Storytelling in Media
- Coverage focused more on team battles than just individual legacies.
- The NBA Finals felt like the culmination of a season-long war.
- Today’s NBA media is obsessed with “GOAT debates” and LeBron’s every move rather than telling engaging team stories.
Why the Modern Era Could Be Considered Better
- Unmatched Player Skill
- The average NBA player today is far more skilled than in past eras.
- Players like Giannis, Luka, and Jokic combine size and skill in ways that were rare before.
- Shooting, ball-handling, and versatility have improved significantly.
- More Parity & Faster Gameplay
- The game is faster, with more possessions and less isolation-heavy stagnation.
- There’s no single dominant dynasty like the Bulls or early 2000s Lakers—teams rise and fall more frequently.
- Multiple stars emerge each season rather than just a handful of legacy names.
- Global Growth & Accessibility
- International stars (Giannis, Jokic, Wembanyama) are more prominent.
- Social media makes it easier for fans worldwide to engage with players.
Final Verdict: Which Era Had the Better NBA Product?
- If you value star power, rivalries, physicality, and long-term team legacies, the MJ-Kobe-Shaq era was better as a product.
- If you value skill, versatility, and analytics-driven efficiency, the LeBron-Curry-KD era is better in terms of gameplay.
However, viewership numbers and fan sentiment suggest that the NBA was more enjoyable and culturally dominant in the MJ-Kobe-Shaq era. While today’s players may be more talented, the overall entertainment value and competitive structure of the league have declined.
Would you say the NBA should shift its focus back toward storytelling and rivalries rather than pure analytics-driven basketball?
Do you think that if the NBA commissioner changed the rules of the game to impact 3 point shooters and emphasize the midgame, if games were more accessible to watch online, and if the popular online commentators covered the teams that are winning instead of the stars – the direction of the nba as a product would begin to turn?
Yes, if the NBA commissioner made strategic rule changes, improved game accessibility, and shifted media coverage toward winning teams rather than just star players, the NBA could absolutely reverse its current decline and regain its cultural dominance. Let’s break this down step by step.
1. Rule Changes to Reduce Three-Point Dependence & Revive the Midrange Game
Why it would help:
- Right now, three-point shooting dominates every team’s strategy, leading to a homogenized, predictable game.
- The mid-range game and post-play have been de-emphasized, removing diversity in offensive strategies.
- Defensive play is weaker because defenders have to guard the perimeter more, leading to a lack of physicality.
Potential Rule Adjustments: ✅ Move the Three-Point Line Back – Increasing the difficulty would reduce over-reliance.
✅ Eliminate or Modify the Corner Three – The corner three is too easy; making it a two-pointer or extending the arc could help.
✅ Encourage Mid-Range Play – Incentives like changing foul calls (less “landing space” calls on contested jumpers) could promote variety.
✅ Reduce Free Throws on Jump Shot Fouls – This would cut down on foul-baiting, keeping the game flowing.
👉 Impact on the Game: A more balanced and varied game that rewards all-around scoring, including mid-range specialists and post players.
2. Making Games More Accessible to Watch Online
Why it would help:
- The biggest complaint among casual and hardcore fans is that the NBA makes it hard to watch games legally.
- Streaming options are expensive and fragmented (League Pass, Hulu, TNT, ESPN, ABC, Prime, etc.).
- Regional blackouts prevent fans from watching their home teams, forcing them into piracy.
Solutions: ✅ NBA-Owned Streaming Platform – A single service for all games, priced affordably, similar to NFL Sunday Ticket or what the Suns’ owner did.
✅ No More Blackouts – Fans should be able to watch their home teams without restrictions.
✅ Flexible Subscription Options – Maybe $5/month for one team, $15/month for all games, rather than forcing an expensive bundle.
✅ Free Weekly National Games – A few marquee games streamed for free to hook in casual viewers.
👉 Impact on the Game: More fans engaged, more casual viewers converted into diehards, and an increase in revenue from legitimate sources rather than piracy.
3. Media Shift Toward Winning Teams Instead of Just Superstars
Why it would help:
- NBA media focuses too much on the same 3-5 players (LeBron, Curry, KD, etc.), ignoring rising teams and players.
- Casual fans only hear about superstars, meaning they have no reason to invest in emerging teams.
- Successful but under-covered teams (OKC, Nuggets, Cavs, Wolves) get ignored, making the league feel stale.
Solutions: ✅ Push Online Commentators to Cover Success, Not Just Superstars – The NBA could partner with YouTubers, streamers, and podcasters to highlight more teams.
✅ Balanced TV Coverage – Networks like ESPN and TNT should be required to air games featuring new stars and rising teams rather than defaulting to Lakers-Warriors.
✅ More Storytelling on Rivalries & Playoff Contenders – Instead of just GOAT debates, focus on team matchups, real rivalries, and narratives beyond superstars.
👉 Impact on the Game: More fan investment in new teams, better storytelling, and a healthier, less superstar-dependent league.
Would This Work?
Yes. If all three of these factors were implemented together, we’d likely see: ✅ A more competitive and entertaining game (less three-point spam, more diverse styles).
✅ Higher viewership (because games are easier to watch).
✅ More fan engagement (because new teams and rivalries are properly promoted).
If the NBA fails to make these changes, it risks becoming increasingly niche, with only diehards sticking around while casual fans move on to other sports.
Final Question: Do You Think Adam Silver Would Ever Do This?
- Unlikely unless pressure mounts from owners and fans.
- NBA leadership currently prioritizes revenue over competitive balance.
- But if ratings keep dropping, the NBA may be forced to course-correct.
Would you say the NBA is at a crossroads, where if it doesn’t change in the next 5 years, it risks long-term damage?
After this I asked Chat to write the article that is linked above and also linked here: https://x.com/GroundwalkerL/status/1901048422053867872
Thanks for reading and be sure to check out the YouTube video where I go over this article and its creation (which will be linked here when it’s uploaded).
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